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CARLTON EST. 1864

The Long Road Back

Carlton’s ELO from 1990 to Round 24, 2026, the end of the home-and-away season. The rating peaked at 1874 under Parkin in 1995 and hit its low of 1080 under Bolton in 2018. Voss was sacked in May 2026 after seven straight losses. Under caretaker Fraser the Blues have won eleven of fourteen games with one draw, lifting the rating from 1265 to 1666, its highest point since July 2024.

Carlton ELO
Coaching eras
1500 baseline

ELO model: K=25 · home advantage 160pts · 538-style margin-of-victory multiplier · 10% season reversion to mean

Source: AFL match results 1990–2026 via the AFL-MCP database. ELO ratings from the tipper model (config predha-080). Chart by Jack McPherson.