Carlton Football Club · Performance Data
Three decades of Carlton's ELO rating trace a dramatic arc: from the Parkin-era dynasty peaks of the mid-nineties to the darkest years under Pagan and Bolton, the slow rebuild under Voss — and his sudden mid-season sacking in 2026 after seven straight losses. Caretaker Fraser has since steadied the side, winning six on the trot to lift the Blues back above the 1500 line.
ELO model: K=25 · Home advantage 160pts · 538-style margin-of-victory multiplier · 10% season reversion to mean
Source: AFL match results 1990–2026 via the AFL-MCP database. ELO ratings from the tipper model (config predha-080). Chart by Jack McPherson.