St Kilda’s ELO from 1990 to Round 23, 2026. Alves took the Saints to the 1997 Grand Final, the rating fell to 1124 in 2001, and it peaked at 1924 during the near-misses of 2009 and 2010 under Lyon. Long rebuilds under Richardson and Ratten followed. Lyon returned in 2023; after Round 23 of 2026 the Saints sit at 1437.
ELO model: K=25 · home advantage 160pts · 538-style margin-of-victory multiplier · 10% season reversion to mean
Source: AFL match results 1990–2026 via the AFL-MCP database. ELO ratings from the tipper model (config predha-080). Chart by Jack McPherson.