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SYDNEY EST. 1874

The Swans’ Long Rise

Sydney’s ELO from 1990 to Round 23, 2026. The rating bottomed out at 1026 under Barassi in 1993 and climbed sharply under Eade. The premiership eras of Roos and Longmire kept it high for two decades, peaking at 1877 in 2013. A slump in Cox’s first season has given way to a strong 2026: the Swans sit at 1742 after Round 23.

Sydney ELO
Coaching eras
1500 baseline

ELO model: K=25 · home advantage 160pts · 538-style margin-of-victory multiplier · 10% season reversion to mean

Source: AFL match results 1990–2026 via the AFL-MCP database. ELO ratings from the tipper model (config predha-080). Chart by Jack McPherson.